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IDC forecasts worldwide mobile phone growth to continue at slower pace this year

According to a new mobile phone forecast from IDC, worldwide market growth is expected to continue in 2005, but at ...


May 10, 2005  


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According to a new mobile phone forecast from IDC, worldwide market growth is expected to continue in 2005, but at a slower pace.

Globally, IDC expects mobile phone shipment totals to slow in most regions during 2005 as a direct result of the large number of new phones purchased by wireless subscribers in 2003 and 2004.

However, demand from emerging countries and first-time wireless subscribers will continue to drive growth for mobile phones. In 2005, IDC expects the largest share of shipment growth to come from emerging countries with the total expected volume increasing by more than 20 million units shipped.

“Strong demand from emerging markets, the attraction of color displays and camera-enabled mobile phones, and delays in 3G network availability made 2004 a banner year for 2.5G mobile phone shipments,” said David Linsalata, research analyst with the firm’s mobile devices division.

“With more than 692 million units shipped in 2004, the underlying foundation of the mobile phone market is sound, but limited catalysts for 3G adoption will create complex market conditions over the next few years. The market will continue to expand through 2009, however, offering a significant opportunity for hardware, software, and service vendors alike.”

In 2005, IDC expects there to be nearly 1.7 billion active wireless subscribers or individuals paying a subscription bill around the world.

Through 2009, wireless subscriber base growth will exist in all regions, although some countries and regions will reach near-full penetration levels by the end of the forecast period.