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Cisco VNI forecast reveals IP traffic to triple by 2017

The Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast (2012-2017), published this week projects that global Internet protocol (IP) traffic will grow three-fold between 2012 and 2017.


May 29, 2013  


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The Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast (2012-2017), published this week projects that global Internet protocol (IP) traffic will grow three-fold between 2012 and 2017.

Global IP traffic is expected to reach nearly 121 exabytes per month by 2017, up from about 44 exabytes per month in 2012. (121 exabytes is equivalent to 30 billion DVDs; or 28 trillion MP3’s; or 750 quadrillion text messages.) The updated study includes traffic growth and service adoption trends, complementing the VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast released earlier this year.

Findings included the following:

* By 2017, there will be about 3.6 billion Internet users-more than 48% of the world’s projected population (7.6 billion).

* There will be more than 19 billion global network connections (fixed/mobile personal devices, M2M connections, et al.) up from about 12 billion connections in 2012.

* Globally, the average fixed broadband speed will increase 3.5-fold from 2012-2017, from 11.3 Mbps to 39 Mbps.

* Global network users will generate 3 trillion Internet video minutes per month, that is 6 million years of video per month, or 1.2 million video minutes every second or more than two years worth of video every second.

In addition, M2M connections will grow three-fold from two billion in 2012 to six billion by 2017.

Annual global M2M IP traffic will grow 20-fold over this same period-from 197 petabytes in 2012 (0.5% of global IP traffic) to 3.9 exabytes by 2017 (3% of global IP traffic). Applications such as video surveillance, smart meters, asset/package tracking, chipped pets/livestock, digital health monitors and a host of other next-generation M2M services are driving this growth, Cisco said.